Napak is number one in terms of new voter percentage increase with 31 percent. It is followed by several Buganda districts of Wakiso, Luweero, Masaka, Butambala plus Kampala with more than 25 percent increase.
Five Buganda districts—Wakiso, Luweero, Masaka, Butambala and
Kampala—are among districts that have had a substantial percentage increase in
the number of new voters, analysis of Electoral Commission voter data reveals. And
experts mostly attribute this to Buganda’s strategic location.
Napak is number one in terms of new voter percentage increase
with 31 percent. It is followed by the mentioned Buganda districts with more than
25 percent increase. In this analysis, districts created after 2016 general
elections such as Masaka city are combined with its mother district—Masaka.
Peter Bogere of Uganda Project Implementation and Management
Centre (UPIMAC), an organization that conducts
voter education, says more people are coming to settle in Buganda districts such
as Kampala and Wakiso.
On the political perspective, he says the Buganda nationalism
catalyzed by pop-star turned politician, Robert Kyagulanyi aka Bobi Wine—the National
Unity Platform (NUP) presidential candidate cannot be underestimated. When EC
was updating voter register, Bobi encouraged youth to register and vote.
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The view that migration has fueld the voter increase in Buganda is also shared by political scientist, Dr Goloba
Mutebi who say people tend to migrate to more developed areas. Buganda is the
seat of the capital city. And Wakiso district that is second to Napak in terms
new voter percentage increase encircles Kampala. Goloba also says Buganda has
the best academic institutions that attract learners who end up registering to
vote in the area.
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But Goloba differs with the argument that Bobi Wine could have been
a factor in catalyzing people to register and vote. “If Bobi Wine has excited
young Baganda to register, that would be quit new because historically Baganda
don’t vote for Baganda just because they happen to be Baganda” he says.
Goloba says Bobi Wine has been attracting large crowds of youth
outside Buganda meaning that he would have inspired youth to also register in
Paul Mukungu the LC III Chairperson of Luweero Town Council says
that an increase in voters is due to population explosion as a result of
urbanization. Mukungu adds that in 2016, there were only three town councils in
the Luweero district but these have since increased to eight town councils.
Mukungu says that more people have migrated from nearby rural
districts and settled in town councils to tap into several opportunities there.
As result, Mukungu says several people have registered to vote there.
Also, Mukungu argues that the campaign by NUP Presidential
candidate Robert Kyagulanyi calling for people to register is partly the cause
for the increase.
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Joseph Kigongo, an Alliance for National Transformation (ANT) leader
in Luwero says that the district has registered an influx of refugees
especially from South Sudan whom he suspects to have registered to vote. This
claim is something that URN cannot independently verify.